Cardano (ADA) in Verge of 20% breakout while the social sentiment indicator hit 4 months

Cardano’s (Ada) The price manages a stable 13.5% in March after experiencing a 32% sink in February. Altcoin still drops 15% to Q1, but technical data begins to point out the continuation of recent positive price action.
Cardano 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Despite the ADA price moving between $ 0.78 and $ 0.70 in the last 10 days, altcoin-related society-related sentiment struck a new year-to-date high.
Cardano’s “bullish” sentiment up to 4-month height
According to Santiment, a platform of onchain intelligence, Cardano’s society sentiment shown The highest positive measurement in four months.
ADA investors have received assistance from the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) Recent commentsthat classified the case of Cardano’s use as “smart contracts for government services.” The SEC statement has been followed by the highest ADA ratio of positive comments since the first week of November 2024.
The mark of Cardano’s audience by Santiment. Source: x.com
Increasing social emotions often aligns with increasing trading activity and, at times, higher prices. During Q4 2024, increasing positive social emotions and active transactions came together for ADA. However, the environment is slightly different now.
Data from Cardanoscan.io showed a strong difference between the number of active transactions from early November 2024 and today. In the Q4, the average transaction count remained above 100,000 for most of November and December, but at present, it almost dropped by 70%, with a number of transactions entering 26,437 on March 18.
Sun -day transactions and charge charts. Source: Cardanoscan.io
Regardless of the weak onchain activity, Michael Heinrich, CEO of 0G Labs, told Cointelegraph that Cardano’s strength was in its “lobbying”. Speaking with Ada and XRP integration with a US digital stockpile asset, Heinrich said,
“They have time in the game: these tokens are short, they are liquid, and they are not likely to bepring any sudden surprise.”
Related: Cardano’s ADA lands spot in US Digital Asset Stockpile – will it develop value?
Ada to have -rally 20% before the end of March?
Not to mention underwhelming onchain data, the ADA price has accepted positive news in the past.
Altcoin maintains a position above the 0.50 fibonacci retracement line despite ADA in a downtrend since 2024 high $ 1.32. This indicates that the ADA (HTF) high-time frame chart remains in a technical uprising.
Ada/USDT 1-Day Chart. Source: Tradingview
Cardano maintained support from the climb (black line) while the oscillating between its parallel channel. Currently, immediate resistance lies in the upper channel range at $ 0.78, supported by a 200-day exponential transfer of average (200-devil, orange line). A positive candle near the 200-demuma in the daily chart indicates a bullish shift, which potentially triggers a move above $ 0.78.
The immediate target above $ 0.78 lies between 0.84 and $ 0.88, where a sun -day -to -day value (FVG) is present. A retest of $ 0.88 marks a 20% return from the current price.
Historically, however, Cardano has shown the long movement of the sideways, which may limit immediate gains. A break above $ 0.78 confirms additional confirmation for a rally, but until then, altcoin can continue to range between $ 0.78 and $ 0.70.
Related: Bitcoin only sees a ‘normal correction,’ Cycle Peak is still coming: Analysts
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.