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Bitcoin Bull Market Hinges at $ 13.8 billion options expired


Key Takeaways:

  • Bitcoin Bears holds strong incentives below $ 114,000, likely to intensify the pressure in advance of expiry of options.

  • AI-sector spending concerns increase excitement and weigh greater appetite for investors.

A total of $ 13.8 billion in Bitcoin (Btc) The options are set to expire on August 29, one moment Many entrepreneurs believe that can determine whether the recent 9.7% correction marked the end of Bulcoin’s Bull Run or a temporary pause. The fall of $ 112,100 on Thursday pushed Bitcoin to its lowest point in six weeks, intensifying Bearish’s momentum early on the monthly options.

Bullish bitcoin strategies painful prepared for prices below $ 114,000

The $ 7.44 billion in open interest for call options (buy) stands 17% higher than $ 6.37 billion placed (sold) contracts. However, the actual hinges of Bitcoin’s price outcome at 8:00 am UTC on August 29. Deribit led the market with an 85% part, followed by CME at 7% and OKX with 3%.

The bulls can be overly confident, with some wagers set at $ 125,000 or higher. That optimism quickly exploded after the fall of Bitcoin, transferring momentum to instruments. Regardless of the righteousness behind the recent BTC price correction, entrepreneurs who choose bullish techniques are likely to fail.

Deribit options Open interest for August 29, BTC. Source: deribit

Only 12% of Call Options was placed at $ 115,000 or below, leaving most out of money at current levels. By contrast, 21% of the puts are positioned at $ 115,000 or higher, with a significant cluster at $ 112,000. So, it is only natural to expect that bears will continue to negatively press the price of Bitcoin leading the monthly expiry.

It may be too early to declare the bullish options that are completely lost. Businessmen await comments from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday, as any suggestion of increasing ODDs of the rate of rate Asset prices can be supported. The warmer-than-anticipated US unemployed data on Thursday was added to that hope, maintaining high macroeconomic uncertainty.

Related: Why is Bitcoin crashing and $ 112k the final bottom?

US Federal Reserve and Tech Stocks can dictate the outcome of Bitcoin

Below are five possible deribit situations based on current price trends. Outcomes estimate theoretical profits based on open imbalance but exclude complex techniques, such as selling placement options to obtain reversible price exposure.

  • Between $ 105,000 and $ 110,000: $ 210 million in calls (buy) compared to $ 2.66 billion placed (sold). The result of the net favors Put instruments of $ 2.45 billion.

  • Between $ 110,100 and $ 114,000: The $ 420 million calls compared to the $ 1.94 billion placed, the favor puts $ 1.5 billion.

  • Between $ 114,100 and $ 116,000: $ 795 million calls compared to the $ 1.15 billion placed, the favor puts $ 360 million.

  • Between $ 116,100 and $ 118,000: $ 1.3 billion calls compared to the $ 830 million placed, favoring calls by $ 460 million.

  • Between $ 118,100 and $ 120,000: $ 1.7 billion calls compared to the $ 560 million placed, favoring calls by $ 1.1 billion.

For bullish strategies to gain traction, Bitcoin will have to trade above $ 116,000 on August 29. However, the most critical battle lies at $ 114,000, where the bear is most motivation to push prices lower.

Ultimately, the fate of Bitcoin at $ 13.8 billion monthly expiry options will be decided by the broader macroeconomic trends, including the discomfort of investors in Artificial intelligence sector. Concerns deepen after Morgan Stanley warned Increasing expenditure may limit the ability of major tech companies to fund sharing purchases, strengthening the equity markets.

This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be done as legal or investment advice. The views, attitudes, and opinions expressed here are unique and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of the cointelegraph.