Bitcoin could hit $ 250k in 2025 if Fed switched to QE: Arthur Hayes

Bitcoin can still rise to more than $ 250,000 before the end of the year, with expectations of an increase in Fiat supply that the rest of the significant catalyst for the first cryptocurrency in the world.
Bitcoin’s (Btc) 2025 price rally can be boosted by US Federal Reserve pivoting to Volume easing (qe)When the Fed buys bonds and bombs the economy money to lower interest rates and encourage spending during difficult financial conditions.
“Bitcoin is just trading based on market dependence for future Fiat supply,” said Arthur Hayes, Bitmex’s co-founder and chief Maelstrom investment official.
Hayes wrote on an April 1 subttack Post:
“If my review of Fed’s main pivot from QT to QE for wealth was right, then Bitcoin hit a local low $ 76,500 last month, and now we’re starting the climb to $ 250,000 by the end of the year.”
The Fed reduced the Treasury Runoff Cap to $ 5 billion per month from $ 25 billion effectively on April 1, while maintaining runoff supported by mortgage (MBS) stable at $ 35 billion.
The Fed may allow MBS roll off without replacement and the excessive payment may be re -investing in Treasurys, according to comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell Na -Published by Reuters.
“Mathematics, which maintains the same Fed balance sheet; however, that is Treasury QE. Bitcoin will shout higher once it is formally announced,” Hayes added.
Related: Next Bitcoin catalyst: Ending $ 36T US Debt Ceiling Suspension
Other analysts are the view of a more conservative Bitcoin price price based on BTC’s relationship with a global liquidity index.
BTC expects to reach $ 132,000 based on the growth of M2 currency supply. Source: Jamie Coutts
Growing money supply can be pushed Bitcoin price above $ 132,000 Before ending 2025, according to Estimates From Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto analyst in Real Vision.
Related: Bitcoin ‘More likely’ hits $ 110k before $ 76.5k – Arthur Hayes
Fed is “flood the market with dollars”
Hayes is “buying Bitcoin and Shitcoins at all levels between $ 90,000 to $ 76,500,” showing his conviction in the crypto market for the rest of 2025. The speed of capital expansion will increase or decrease depending on the accuracy of his predictions.
“I still believe that Bitcoin could hit $ 250,000 by the end of the year because now the BBC has put Powell in his place, the Fed will flood the dollar market,” Hayes wrote, and adding:
“It allows Xi Jinping to teach the PBOC to stop tightening financial conditions on the coast to defend the dollar-yuan exchange rate, increasing the net volume of the yuan.”
Despite optimistic predictions, many markets Participants have bet to a lower bitcoin price price for the end of 2025.
Source: Polymarket
Only 9% of merchants put bets on Bitcoin hitting $ 250,000, while 60% expected Bitcoin hit $ 110,000 in 2025, according to Polymarketthe largest decentralized market of predictions.
However, bitcoin and global appetite at risk remain forced by Global Tariff is afraid Earlier in the upcoming announcement of President Donald Trump’s tariff, scheduled for April 2.
“Long-term positioning remains intact, but the close momentum appears tethering the presentation of MacRO titles,” Stella Zlatareva, Dispatch editor on the digital asset investment platform Nexo, told Cointelegraph.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESB74SYK828
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