Basic Points:
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The high flow of Bitcoin ETF does not always signal a top price while mixing historical data.
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Bitcoin inflows spots are often preceded at short -term prices are rising, not reversed.
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Bitcoin may hit $ 100k but faces resistance.
Bitcoin’s (Btc) Price recovery can be stopped at $ 100,000 as questions arise if high ETF inflows have always marked the local top for possession.
$ 1B Bitcoin ETF Inflows indicates a top?
Bitcoin showed bullish momentum after recovered from multimonth lows of $ 74,400. BTC has climbed 8% in the last seven days, as per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and Tradingview.
Bitcoin recovery is that -fueled of high appetite to investors for ETF spots, which $ 3.06 billion net weekly flowThe largest since December 2025.
The evidence of whether the high area Bitcoin ETFs can signal that the price is close to a local top can be determined by reviewing the history data.
While there are instances where significant flows are compatible or preceded by bitcoin prices, this does not always happen.
The above chart shows that in March 2024, Bitcoin ETF spots found record inflows of over $ 1 billion on March 12, with Blackrock’s Ibit who united $ 849 million.
It preceded the new all-time high of Bitcoin around $ 73,300, suggesting a potential leading signal. Similarly, on June 3, 2024, the day -to -day flow hits $ 917 billion, aligned with the Bitcoin rally from $ 67,000 to $ 72,000, following a 25% correction to $ 53,000. These cases support the idea of major flow before the local tops.
However, in November 2024, the weekly flow hit $ 3.38 billion, while Bitcoin hit a full time high after another, but it didn’t immediately lead to a top price. Instead, the BTC showed being stable Crossing the $ 100,000 market at the first time In the predecessor All-time highs of $ 108,000 reached on December 17, 2025.
Using a vector autoregression model, Falconx market resources shown The relationship between the ETF net flows and the price of Bitcoin, and found that the flows have short-term unpredictable power for price increases, not necessarily reversed.
Related: A ‘local top’ and $ 88k retest? 5 things to know in bitcoin this week
How high is the price of bitcoin?
Bitcoin’s 27% rally from the $ 74,400 low-income flip key level in support, including 50-day ($ 85,100), 100-day ($ 90,570), and 200-day ($ 89,300) simple moving averages (SMA).
Bitcoin is still combined -still under the fight against $ 95,000 as observed by the popular alphabtc analyst.
“The Pink Box (at the level of $ 95,000) will hold the price of $ BTC in the last few days, as expected,” Alphabtc Says In an April 28th post on X, it is expected to see this BTC transfer as the week opens.
Cointelegraph had previously reported that the $ 95,000 level marks the Next significant objection for bitcoin and that ETF continues to demand And other bullish factors will be the key to its overcome.
Alphabtc added:
“I think we’re pushing for 100k, but it’s likely to see a bigger pullback.”
Data from the resource tracking Coinglass Shows the seller’s significant interest within $ 97,000- $ 100,000 range in the past three months.
This indicates that the price of Bitcoin can still rise to take the liquidity to $ 100,000 before presenting a pullback.
Keith Alan, co-founder of materials of trade resource material, hesitating BTC/USD’s ability to maintain a journey above $ 95,000. While the QCP Capital trading firm has argued that Bitcoin lacks a “catalyst” to push it to $ 100,000 for the time.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.
