Key Takeaways:
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Since 2021, 78% of Bitcoin prevention patterns have led to new local highs, especially within a broader raid.
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Bitcoin has absorbed more than $ 544 billion in capital since November 2022, pushing the realized market cap to $ 944 billion.
Bitcoin (Btc) closed Monday with a strong 4.34% day -day gain, forming a bullish attached candle that completely reversed the past two days of bearish price action. This pattern, along with the BTC maintains support above a $ 105,000 level for two consecutive days, signals a potential transfer to market structure and increases weight in continuous recovery.
Despite the technical prefunction, the sentiment in the market remains divided, motivating a deeper review. To assess the reliability of this pattern, the cointelegraph has created a comparison review of all Bullish collapse forms in the BTC’s sun -day -to -day chart since 2021.
While the bullish prevention pattern served as the main signal, additional criteria were used to verify its strength:
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The candle candle should cover at least the previous two candles.
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The pattern should appear at the end of the tail of a correction stage, indicating a potential recovery.
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During sessions following the proliferation pattern, a clear rest of the structure must be followed to confirm the bullish momentum.
Since January 2021, Bitcoin have recorded 19 instances of bullish pattern that meets the specified confirmation criteria. Of these, 15 led to the development of new local highs in the following days or weeks, which translates to a historical success rate of approximately 78%.
Noteworthy, all 19 instances took place within a wider context of the bull market. In 2024 and 2025, there were only two failed signals, in May 2024 and March 2025, where the pattern did not lead to new high prices.
Despite these exceptions, the existing bull market structure suggests a statistically desirable environment for continuity, with the Bitcoin currently positioned to produce new highs before potentially re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -re -loveing the $ 100,000 level.
For the wider context, the same pattern was also observed during the 2022 bear market, which identified four events. None of these led to new highs, with three chances clustered within February 2022.
This contrast emphasizes the importance of the context of the trend, as the effectiveness of the pattern is historically limited to downtrends, further strengthening the higher probability of success in the current bull market.
Related: Bitcoin’s ‘Normal and Healthy’ Support Price starts as $ 108k Halts Bulls
Bitcoin blinks “undeniable liquidity conditions”
Bitcoin market conditions shine a scheme that has not been witnessed since late 2022. Despite the extensive panic, the BTC has dropped to $ 16,800 and doubled in three months. According to recent data from SwissblockThe levels of liquidity returned to those found in December 2022, indicating a potential continuity of continuity.
As the macro environment, market participants, and catalysts have changed, a basic fact remains constant: when liquidity recovers, the price of BTC follows. The current structure suggests that bitcoin can be positioning for a similar breakout, as the capital flows back to the system.
The role of liquidity has changed dramatically in this cycle, featuring the growing season of Bitcoin as a macro asset. Since the cycle was low in November 2022, Bitcoin absorbed more than $ 544 billion in fresh capital flows, driving the network’s internal liquidity or realized the market cap at a full time of $ 944 billion.
Related: Bitcoin’s analysts said this should happen for the BTC price to break $ 112K
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.
