The main important catalyst for Bitcoin may arrive on Friday with the end of the American debt suspension, which may be achieved with fresh liquidity in the markets and the leadership of price recovery.
The US Treasury was the roof of its debt of $ 36 trillion, a day after the president Donald Trump’s inauguration On January 20. “Debt Decree suspension period” Start Then he was appointed to continue until March 14, according to a letter published on January 17.
Bitcoin (BTC22 % decreased during the debt suspension plan for two months, from more than 106,000 dollars on January 21 to 82,535 dollars at the time of writing this report on March 12, Tradingvief Data appears.
BTC/USD, one day graph since the debt suspension plan. Source: CointeleGRAPH/TradingView
The resumption of government spending may bring an increase in liquidity to stimulate the next bitcoin assembly, according to Ryan Lee, the chief analyst at Bitget Research.
“With money in the hand, the demand for financial assets such as stocks and encryption can increase, and there may be a mitigation of continuous fluctuations,” an analyst told Cointelegraph. “In such periods, we can expect a boost in the general momentum, although many other factors are important for observation.”
Besides global induction uncertainty, “fears such as inflation, interest rates, and geopolitical issues are still not solved,” added to me.
Given that the suspension of debt will end just two weeks after The top of the White House encryptionPart of the new liquidity may flow into encrypted currencies, according to Aleksei ponomarev, co -founder and CEO of Crypto Index Investing J’jo.
He told Cointelegraph: “Spears in liquidity have usually benefited from bitcoin and risk assets, and the end of the American debt suspension will not be different,” adding: “
“While increasing liquidity will undoubtedly lead the movement of market prices, it is limited to the short -term influence. The long -term path for Bitcoin, and remains related to institutional investments, ETF growth, organizational clarity and implementation.”
The total liquidity index, GMI, Bitcoin (RHS). source: Raul Pal
The right side of Bitcoin (RHS), which represents the lowest price for a bid that is ready to sell the currency, has a potential correction to approximately $ 70,000 until the end of the debt suspension period on Friday, based on his association with the global liquidity index.
However, it can pay the increasing money supply Bitcoin price above 132,000 dollars Before the end of 2025, according to Estimates From Jimmy Cots, chief encryption analyst in Real Vision.
BTC drop to $ 132,000 on M2 Money Supply growth. source: Jimmy Cots
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Bitcoin price is still limited due to the concerns of the World Trade War
While more global liquidity is an optimistic sign of Bitcoin, the world’s first encrypted currency is still limited due to the concerns of the global trade tariffs, according to James Wu, founder and director of the DFG Investment Capital Company:
“While some may argue that the reprisal measures of the countries imposed by the customs tariff were already pricing, the customs tariff has a late economic impact beyond their initial declaration.”
He added: “It is likely that the high costs of import and reduce corporate margins will pay high inflation, forcing the central banks to maintain high interest rates for a longer period under a restricted monetary policy.”
This may also lead to tightening liquidity conditions, which makes the origins of risk like Bitcoin “less attractive to the average.”
Related to: Bitcoin Respectowsforms reaction signals
The European Union presented a retaliatory tariff on March 12, threatening Bitcoin Correct less than $ 75,000 short term. This may happen temporarily due to Europe’s account of more than $ 1.5 trillion of US annual exports.
Despite the fears of the short -term correction, most analysts remained optimistic about the path of bitcoin prices in late 2025, with price predictions It ranges from 160,000 dollars to Above 180,000 dollars.
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