Cake, tkx add spark as btc price treads water before fed

By Omkar Godbole (at all times and unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin (BTC) exchanged around the 200-day average of $ 84,000 as the well -known Hyperliquid The whale came out The multimillion dollar short position of BTC. Smaller coins such as cake, TKX, OKB and Atom have contributed to market optimism with a positive presentation.

SUI token struggles to expand 6% Monday climb, killed by Asset Managers’ ETF filings Together with the SEC, the showing of the institutional interests in the broader crypto market.

While some analysts Bitcoin Bull Run’s ending.

On Monday, US Bitcoin ETF-based areas were attracted to $ 275 million in investor funds, building $ 41 million on Friday. That was the first back-to-back flow from February 7, according to data monitored by investors.

“This data reinforces the narrative that ETF’s sale pressure is exhausting,” said Valentin Fournier, an analyst at BRN. “If this trend continues, we can see the flows that will gradually develop momentum, further supporting the price of Bitcoin.”

The Fed rate decision on Wednesday could introduce volatility to the crypto market with a so many statement that could possibly increase risk rising.

“Post-FOMC, Bitcoin is expected to trade within a range of $ 80,000 to $ 86,000 with a confidence of 80%, while Ethereum is expected to change between $ 1,800 and $ 2,100 under the same level of confidence,” said Ryan Lee, chief analyst in Bitget Research. “These ranges reflect potential movements tied to macroeconomic signals, investor sentiment, and greater financial conditions.”

In the traditional markets, European stocks were higher before a German parliamentary vote on historical debt reforms. The gold remained steadfast above $ 3,000 per ounce, with the blackrock calling the yellow metal better sari -sari than the Treasury notes in the ongoing Macro environment.

Meanwhile, futures are tied to Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow exchanged unchanged negative In the midst of reports That Trump-Putin calls on the Deal of Peace of Ukraine will take place between 13:00 and 15:00 GMT. Stay alert!

What to watch

• Crypto:
• Macro
  • March 18, 8:30 AM: Statistics Canada released February (CPI) price data.
    • Core inflation rate mom prev. 0.4%
    • Core inflation rate yoy prev. 2.1%
    • Inflation rate mom est. 0.6% compared to Prev. 0.1%
    • The rate of inflation yoy est. 2.1% compared to Prev. 1.9%
  • March 18, 8:30 AM: The US Census Bureau released the February Construction data of February.
    • Housing EST begins. 1.38m compared to Prev. 1.366m
  • March 18, 11:00 PM: The Bank of Japan (BOJ) released the financial policy statement.
    • Interest rate est. 0.5% compared to prev. 0.5%
  • March 19, 6:00 AM: Release of Eurostat (final) February Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) Data.
    • Core inflation rate yoy est. 2.6% compared to prev. 2.7%
    • Inflation rate mom est. 0.5% compared to prev. -0.3%
    • The rate of inflation yoy est. 2.4% compared to Prev. 2.5%
  • March 19, 2:00 PM: The Federal Reserve announces the interest rate decision. The FOMC press conference is live-stream 30 minutes later.
    • Fed funds interest rate est. 4.5% compared to prev. 4.5%
  • March 19, 3:00 PM: Argentina’s National Institute of Statistics and Census has released GDP data.
    • Full year GDP growth (2024) Prev. -1.6%
    • GDP GROWTH RATE QOQ (Q4) Prev. 3.9%
    • GDP GROWTH RATE YOY (Q4) EST. 1.7% compared to Prev. -2.1%
  • March 19, 5:30 PM: The Central Bank of Brazil announced the interest rate decision.
    • SELIC RATE EST. 14.25% compared to Prev. 13.25%
• We are (Estimates based on factset data)
  • March 27: Kulr Technology Group (Gold), Post-market
  • March 28: Galaxy Digital Holdings (Glxy), Pre-market

Events with the token

• Votes and Management Calls
• Unlocks
  • March 21: Unable to change (IMX) to unlock 1.39% of the shifting -transfer supply worth $ 13.96 million.
  • March 23: Metars Genesis (MRS) to unlock 11.87% of his circulating -shifting supply worth $ 242.9 million.
  • March 31: Optimism (OP) to unlock 1.93% of his circulating -transfer supply worth $ 27.47 million.
  • April 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 2.03% of its circulating -switch supply worth $ 147.65 million.
  • April 3: Wormhole (W) to unlock 47.7% of the shifting -shifting supply worth $ 121.48 million.
  • April 7: KASPA (KAS) to unlock 0.59% of his shifting -transfer supply worth $ 11.28 million.
• Token lists
  • March 18: Jupiter (Jup) listed in Arkham.
  • March 18: PAWS (PAWS) listed bybit.
  • March 18: Slingshot (sling) listed in Kucoin.
  • March 19: Hamster Kombat (HMMTR) and Duckchain (Duck) listed in Kraken.
  • March 31: Binance to Delist USDT, FDUSD, TUSD, USDP, Dai, AEUR, UST, USTC, and PAXG.

Conference

Token talk

By Shaurya Malwa

• Hackers attacked four.Meme launch platforms of the BNB chain, taking advantage of new tokens of meme to drain the liquidity by aspiring list restrictions and creating unauthorized pancakeswap trade pairs, stopping funds around 04:00 gmt.
• The attack preempted four.Meme’s Curated token launches, buying a small token pre-launch, adding liquidity to pancakeswap pairs, and pulling it, targeting popular tokens such as mubarkaking (87.90 BNB stolen) and others such as eddy and cocoro.
• Four.meme suspended the new token launch and promised compensation for affected users, although no contract weaknesses were found. Early transactions leaks in front of the hacker, according to Analyst Chaofan Shou.
• The attack exploits a flawed token function that allows transfers to the bonding curve stage, a repeated issue of cell cell manipulation, which potentially affects all four.MEME tokens despite only a few who are due to their popularity.

Derivatives positioning

• The open interest in ETH, LTC, XRP and Sol Perpetual Futures has increased in the past 24 hours next to a flat-to-negative integrated volume of delta (CVD), indicating net sales in the market.
• Sol, Ada and Doge also found negative funding rates.
• Both open interest and basis in BTC and Eth CME futures remain depressed in recent lows, suggesting a lack of confidence in institutions to deploy capital.
• BTC and ETH options of the derivit continue to display skews for those who have expired until the end of April.

Market Movements:

• BTC dropped 1.62% from 4 pm et Monday to $ 82,676.40 (24hrs: -0.81%)
• ETH dropped 2.29% to $ 1,892.55 (24hrs: -1.1%)
• CoinDesk 20 drops 2.25% to 2,582.56 (24hrs: -1.46%)
• Ether Cesr Composite Staking Rate does not change to 2.96%
• BTC funding rate is at 0.0036% (3.89% annual) in Binance

• DXY does not change to 103.28
• Gold is up to 0.76% to $ 3,020.72/oz
• Silver is up to 0.82% at $ 34.07/oz
• Nikkei 225 closed +1.2% to 37,845.42
• Hang Seng +2.46% closed to 24,740.57
• FTSE reached 0.44% to 8,715.59
• Euro Stoxx 50 reached 0.85% to 5,491.99
• DJIA closed on Monday +0.85% to 41,841.63
• S&P 500 closed +0.64% in 5,675.12
• NASDAQ closed +0.31% to 17,808.66
• The S&P/TSX composite index is closed +0.94% to 24,785.11
• S&P 40 Latin America closed +1.76% to 2,475.69
• US 10-year Treasury Rate dropped 1 BP to 4.31%
• E-Mini S&P 500 futures dropped 0.29% to 5,715.75
• E-Mini Nasdaq-100 Futures dropped 0.38% to 19,963.00
• E-Mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Futures dropped 0.27% to 42,112.00

Bitcoin Stats:

• BTC Dominance: 61.66 (-0.03%)
• Ethereum in Bitcoin Ratio: 0.02285 (-0.31%)
• Hashrate (seven-day average move): 805 eh/s
• HASHPRICE (spot): $ 47.08
• Total Fees: 4.68 BTC / $ 386,699
• CME Futures Open Interest: 151,030 BTC
• Btc that is priced at gold: 27 oz
• BTC vs Gold Market Cap: 7.68%

Technical analysis

• The collapse of the Dollar Index (DXY) continues the key 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Support which is violated with a positive sign for risk possession.
• The breakthrough was exposed to the next support of 102.32, representing the 78.6% level of Fibonacci.

Crypto equities

• Strategy (MSTR): Closed on Monday at $ 294.27 (-1.08%), down 1.54% to $ 289.75 to pre-market
• Coinbase Global (coin): closed to $ 188.96 (+3.19%), down 1.55% to $ 186.21
• Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): Closed to C $ 17.35 (-3.5%)
• Mara Holdings (Mara): closed at $ 12.97 (-1.59%), down 1.39% to $ 12.79
• Riot Platform (RIOT): closed to $ 7.76 (-0.77%), down 1.16% to $ 7.67
• Core Scientific (Corz): closed to $ 8.76 (-0.57%), down 0.8% to $ 8.69
• CleansPark (CLSK): closed to $ 8.12 (+1.88%), down 1.23% to $ 8.02
• COINSHARES VALKYRIE BITCOIN MINERS ETF (WGMI): Closed to $ 15.37 (+0.46%)
• Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $ 36.03 (+4.89%), up to 2.19% to $ 36.82
• Exodo Movement (EXOD): Closed to $ 32.35 (+15.33%), unchanged pre-market

ETF is flowing

Spot btc etfs:

• Sun -Sun Net Flow: $ 274.6 Million
• Cumulative Net Flow: $ 35.67 Billion
• Total BTC handling ~ 1,120 million.

Spot etfs

• Net -Net Flow Net Flow: -$ 7.3 Million
• Cumulative Net Flow: $ 2.53 billion
• Total Eth Holdings ~ 3.509 million.

Source: Farside Investor

Overnight flowing

Chart of the day

• Pump.Fun is a Solana -based market that is widely used to create and distribute tokens, especially memecoins.
• The day -to -day -to -token activity was cooled to 29,475 transactions on Monday, down from 71,738 on January 23.
• This is a sign that the broader market slide has cooled the imagination -haka activities.

While you are sleeping

In ether