Can the ETH break the $ 4.5k and the sun -sun difference is improper?

Key Takeaways:
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Ether Perpetual Futures Volume exceeds Bitcoin, which signed a major transfer to market interest.
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A bearish RSI variation points to short-term fatigue.
Ether (Eth) has only been exchanged below $ 4,000 objections since December, 2025 and merchants are unsure if it will cross anytime soon. Despite the difficulty of overcoming $ 4,000, a major target for Bulls lies in +1σ actively realized the band’s price, currently walking near $ 4,500. The scale monitors the average ETH cost, actively changing hands on the network.
Data from glassnode indicated That this level will act as a ceiling during March 2024 high and the 2020–21 cycle. A long breakout above this line has previously stabbed a fast upward momentum, but also carries the risk of overheating and volatility of the structure.
Momentum can also be seen in the future ETH market. Cointelegraph reported The ether lifelong futures have exceeded Bitcoin in the quantity of dominance in the first time since 2022, marked the “biggest” shift in the trade focus towards the ETH recorded. Also, pseudonymous businessman Byzantine General recently changed his short -term view, Says,
“I think I’m wrong about ETH getting some short-term downside. It’s so strong, refusing to print any meaningful correction … It looks like a fair send it a moment.”
Supporting this narrative, Ether’s destruction maps show a dense cluster of short -lived stacked ups just above $ 4,000. A clean move above this threshold can shiquidate nearly $ 930 million in positions, which potentially fuel a vertical move towards $ 4,500.
Related: Here’s why some Ethereum merchants expect that ETH prices hit $ 16k in this cycle
Bearish variations increase short-term precautions for ETH
While the bullish momentum is dominant in the narrative, a basic technical signal can be able to control the current rally. In both four hours and a day of time, Ether prices are printed by new local highs, but the relative power index (RSI) failed to confirm the transition, leading to variations of variations.
The differences of bearish can be an early sign of consumer fatigue, resembling patterns in previous local tops. When it comes out, the day -to -day chart shows an ongoing difference -Bearish has not fully resolved since the ETH crossed above $ 3,500. A short -term pullback towards major support in zones could not be ruled out if the price did not comply with more than $ 4,000 with convincing volume.
If a bearish correction pans out, the immediate range of support at the lower frame time remains just below $ 3,700, which follows a narrow interval of fair value (FVG).
However, ongoing bearish pressure can lead to the ether testing the long -term FVG between $ 3,200 and $ 3,300, leading to a bearish break of the structure.
Related: ‘Largest’ Volume of Skew for ETH Confirmed Pivot in Altcoins: Glassnode
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.