Monthly Bitcoin options can be the first step to $ 120k

Key Takeaways:
-
Bitcoin’s $ 4.3 billion choice expires neutral-to-bullis bets, with a $ 175 million sides if prices remain above $ 113,000.
-
Macroeconomic uncertainty, including weak US working data and the doubt of the AI sector, can determine the short-term trajectory of bitcoin.
Bitcoin (Btc) passed the past $ 114,000 mark on Thursday after a positive income report from the Oracle Corporation (ORCL), a major player in the artificial intelligence infrastructure. Moving has pushed Bitcoin to its highest price in more than two weeks, raising expectations for a stronger momentum of stronger momentum before $ 4.3 billion BTC Expiring options on Friday.
Put Options (Sell) dominate this week’s expiry, representing $ 2.35 billion in open interest compared to $ 1.93 billion in Call (buy) contracts. However, call options got an edge after the price of Bitcoin moved away from the $ 107,500 lows found earlier in September. Current imbalances of placement are not uncommon in a market where crypto entrepreneurs are usually optimistic.
The deribit remains clearly the head of the market, holding 75% of the weekly Bitcoin sharing, followed by OKX at 13%. Bybit and Binance account for almost 5% each. Due to deribit’s dominance, its positioning has offered the best signal to measure whether bitcoin can be pushed for more than $ 120,000 in a short time.
Bearish or neutral positions appear to be poorly placed, as less than $ 125 million putting open interest is set to $ 114,000 or higher in the derivit. In contrast, more than $ 300 million in call contracts will be sensitive if Bitcoin maintains levels of over $ 113,000 until Friday expired. The $ 175 million advantage for call buyers can provide the fuel needed for Bitcoin to expand its bullish.
Work market concerns in the US and AI’s maintenance may limit the reverse of Bitcoin
The 36% Oracle price sharing Wednesday was driven by expectations of stronger income after the company announced a $ 455 billion increase in future contracts. Later on that day, The Wall Street Journal reported that Openai only costs $ 300 billion of Oracle’s backlog, which motivates concerns about maintaining AI-driven growth.
The X user Sam_Mielke is highlighting how NVIDIA (NVDA) benefits from the sale of Oracle equipment, which generates repeated income even though Nvidia itself rented AI Datacenter. The post recommends that these firms can engage in a form of “financial cycling,” effectively converting capital expenditures to revenues.
Whether or not the criticism holds weight, fears of recession can boost the confidence of Bitcoin Bulls to reach a new time high in 2025.
Entrepreneurs’ optimism hits after sharp Tuesday negative revision in the employment data in the United States. Bank of America Equity Analyst Ebrahim Poonawa warned Raising unemployment can weaken the quality of credit to large banks, according to Yahoo Finance. He noted, however, credit losses to this day have been “a nonviolent” throughout 2025.
Related: The current fear of crypto entrepreneurs will not last long, says analysts
If Bitcoin holds $ 112,000 in Friday expiration, the call options open interest will exceed options by $ 50 million, supporting neutral-to-bullish techniques. But if the price drops below $ 111,000 to 8:00 am Friday, put options to get a $ 100 million advantage.
Ultimately, Bitcoin’s direction is likely to decide at the last moment, with macroeconomic uncertainty playing decisive roles.
This article is for general information purposes and is not intended to be and should not be done as legal or investment advice. The views, attitudes, and opinions expressed here are unique and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of the cointelegraph.