The current bitcoin (Btc) bear market, defined as a 20% or more falling from the whole time, is relatively weak in terms of greatness and should only take 90 days, according to the market analyst and the author of Metcalfe’s law as a model for the value of BitcoinTimothy Peterson.
Peterson compared The current collapse in 10 previous bear markets, which takes place almost once a year, and is said that four bear markets are worse than the price decline in terms of duration, including 2018, 2021, 2022, and 2024.
The analyst foretold that the BTC will not be departed at a depth of $ 50,000 price level due to underlying adoption trends. However, Peterson also argued that was based on momentum, not likely that the BTC would break down $ 80,000. Analyst added:
“There may be a slide in the next 30 days followed by a 20-40% rally once after April 15. You can see that on the charts around the day 120. This is probably enough of a headline to restore weak hands to the market and push Bitcoin even higher.”
Crypto markets experienced a sharp collapse Following the tariffs of the US president Trump with many United States trading partners, which led to counter-drivers in US exports, leading to fear of a long-term trade war.
Comparing each bear market since 2025. Source: Timothy Peterson
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Investors fled at risk-on property in fears of trade war
Investors Appetite for the speculations that possessing decreases Due to the ongoing trade war and macroeconomic uncertainty.
The glassnode hot supply Metric.
According to Nansen Research Analyst Nicolai Sondergaard, Will Will Will Will Looks for the press war press until April 2025When international negotiations can be reduced or spreading trading tariffs as a whole.
A recent review from the cryptoquant also shows that a Most retail traders have already invested At BTC, the hope of long hopes that a massive rush of retail businessmen will inject fresh capital into markets and push prices higher in the near term.
Also put the trade war Safe Haven is the narrative of Bitcoin in doubt While the price of decentralized possession has collapsed with tariff titles along with other risks and speculations –
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This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.
