Blog

US Dollar Index weakness should fuel a fresh Bitcoin reaction: Analysis


Basic Points:

  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) is below the annual transfer of average and more than six points below its 200-day equivalent.

  • Bitcoin should stand to benefit from the trend thanks to the traditional opposite relationship with DXY.

  • The BTC price action has not yet followed the history preceding the dollar.

Bitcoin (Btc) standing to benefit from US debt and dollar weakness as the greenback sets a two-decade note.

New research From the Analytics platform of the Onchain Cryptoquant on Tuesday re -verifies Bitcoin’s opposite relationship with the US Dollar Index (DXY).

Btc price of tailwinds stack up as dxy sags

BTC price strength continues to receive a tailwind from the US dollar, which this month has bounced from its lowest level compared to trading-partner’s currencies since early 2022.

DXY fell to 96.377 on July 1, the data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and Tradingview Shows-a level that has not been seen for more than three years, with dollar strengths down to more than 10% year-to-date.

However, those who are happy to achieve, will not end there; The cryptoquant announced that compared to the 200-day transfer of average (MA), the DXY revolves around a zone that last visited it more than 20 years ago.

US Dollar Index (DXY) 1-week chart with 200-day Ma. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

“As the US debt reached a new all-time high, DXY hit only a historic weak level, currently trading 6.5 points below the 200-day average move, marked the largest deviation in the last 21 years,” contributed Darkfost summary to a QuickTake Blog post.

“Although this may appear stressful at first glance, it really is likely to benefit risk assets like Bitcoin.”

Bitcoin regularly displayed opposite correlation with DXY In its life, but in recent years, the relationship has been Not so clear.

Darkfost argues that the trend remains part of a broader investment pattern at risk risk.

“While the dollar weakens and loses its safe appeal, investors re-evaluate their portfolio allocations and transfer of capital to alternative properties,” he said.

An accompanying chart showed a relationship between BTC price performance and DXY relationship at 365-day MA.

“This chart describes the phenomenon by highlighting the periods in which DXYs trade below the 365-day transfer of average,” Darkfost said.

“Looking at the historical data, it is clear that such times are very desirable at the BTC. We are currently at a stage where DXY weakness can fuel a new increase in BTC but the price has not yet retaliated.”

US Dollar Index (DXY) compared to BTC/USD (Screenshot). Source: cryptoquant

Dollar makes the case to have bitcoin

Number Cointelegraph reportedThe weakness of the US dollar has accelerated thanks to the implementation of trade tariffs in the US.

Related: ‘Wrong Move’ to $ 105k? 5 things to know in bitcoin this week

For Bitcoin advocates, this is Fiat Currency in general Ceding prowess In Crypto.

“If the dollar is so powerful, it makes the case owner,” economist Lyn Alden said to the cointelegraph Last week in “Bitcoin’s main competition.”

“If total system credit and total dollars in the system continue to rise in the next five, seven, ten years, that is one of the MacRO factors that make it a useful -benefit to Bitcoin’s owner.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5A4uto3QGTU

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.