What will trigger a BTC price breakout?

Key Takeaways:
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Bitcoin should hold support at $114,000 to confirm the recovery.
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Spot volume and trading activity should recover to ensure a sustained breakout in BTC price.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) 10% rally from the October 17 lows of $103,500 appears to have stalled at $115,000, amid reduced demand and low onchain activity.
Many analysts have revealed what should happen to increase Bitcoin’s potential to break above $115,000 in the following days or weeks.
Bitcoin should hold $114,000 support
5% BTC price hike The past seven days have seen it recapture key levels, including the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), the $110,000 psychological level and $114,000, where it found support, per data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.
Related: BTC Price Price Record Monthly Closer: 5 Things to Know in Bitcoin This Week
Bitcoin’s Bullish Case Hinges on Bulls defending support at $114,000, according to Swissblock.
“This week is about confirmation – confirming that Bitcoin is forming a bottom and can hold the $114K support,” the private wealth manager said In a post of Tuesday x.
Swissblock explained that while price momentum has remained negative since the October 11 flash crash, the key now lies in “Momentum Ignition,” adding:
“For BTC to sustain the upside continuation, it must generate fresh buying pressure to defend $114K and start building a new bullish structure from that base.”
Crypto analyst Rekt Capital said Bitcoin Bulls need to turn weekly near $114,500 to support through a retest to confirm the breakout.
Bitcoin successfully closed the week above both the 21-week Ema (green) and $114.5k (black)
Both $114.5k & Ema can get retested to confirm a resurgent support$ Btc it could be achieved by a volatile retest of $114.5k, wicking to the Ema below#Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/t7wjgk9miy pic.twitter.com/hw1chwdsdx
– Rekt Capital (@REKTCapital) October 27, 2025
Fellow analyst Daan Crypto Trades said Holding the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $114,000 is important going forward.
Count Cointelegraph reportedthe Bulls aiming to defend the $112,300-$114,500 demand zone, with their eyes set All-time highs of over $126,000.
New demand, onchain activity will push BTC higher
Bitcoin’s ability to push above $115,000 appears limited due to the lack of buyers and low network activity.
The chart below shows that Bitcoin’s cumulative volume Delta (CVD) and Perpetual CVD areas remain negative, but have been flattening over the past two weeks.
This indicates that “aggressive selling pressure has subsided in the past few days,” Onchain Data Provider Glassnode said in a post on X.
Meanwhile, spot trading volume declined 17.5% to $12.5 billion from $15.2 billion in the previous week, suggesting a lack of speculative activity.
Denial suggests that Bitcoin’s recent recovery to $116,000 is “not supported by broad participation,” Glassnode write In the latest weekly market impulse report, adding:
“The pullback suggests the involvement of cooling and a potential consolidation phase, with rising prices yet to be confirmed by stronger inflows.”
An increase in area volume parallels a broader accumulation phase, triggering a strong rally.
In addition, onchain activity remains muted, with a “dip in active addresses, transfer volume, and fees, pointing to a quieter network environment and a consolidated user base,” Glassnode said, adding:
“Until conviction deepens and demand expands, Bitcoin will likely remain in a rangebound consolidation, with cautious optimization beginning to replace defensive positioning.”
As Cointelegraph reported.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should do their own research when making decisions.



