Why is the price of Ethereum (ETH) declining today?

Ether (Eth) The price declined more than 11.75% in the last 24 hours up to $ 1,900. In the low intraday, cryptocurrency has traded $ 1,755, the lowest price since October 2023.
ETH/USD Four hours price chart. Source: Tradingview
Many factors appear to contribute to ETH price losses, including:
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The fear of the US shrinkage and its overall impact on risk markets.
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Massive long liquid in the crypto market.
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Crypto loans that ETH -back as collateral risks facing extermination.
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Technical bearishes.
Ether price refused with risk assets
Continued dropping of Ether mirrors is a similar decline in the wider risk-on market due to undesirable macroeconomic conditions.
Basic Points:
Total Crypto Market Cap compared to NASDAQ, Dow Jones, S&P 500, and US 10-year Treasury Note results in a four-hour chart. Source: Tradingview
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JPMorgan has raised the risk of the US withdrawal Up to 40% for 2025, out of 30%, citing US “extreme US” Donald Trump’s “extreme US” policy as a major risk factor.
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Goldman Sachs also raised the 12-month possibility of shrinking to 20%, from 15%.
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Earlier in March, Trump imposed 25% tariffs In all goods from Mexico and Canada, and 10% tariffs on Chinese imports.
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Canada and Mexico revealed the goals of imposing retaliation tariffs on US goods, increasing trade tensions and increasing concerns about a potential trade war.
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Meanwhile, China has been recorded by increasing tariffs on many US products and imposing export controls and investment restrictions on 25 US companies.
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These tariffs are expected to increase consumer prices and contribute to US inflation.
The fears of the US’s retreat affect the Ethereum and the crypto sector, noticeable:
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Ether, Bitcoin, and other leading rank of crypto assets are history that has refused periods of economic disturbance, for example, the Covid-19 Sell-off in March 2020.
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Until March 11, the 52-week relationship between the crypto market and the US Benchmark Index, the S&P 500 index, was 0.69.
Total crypto market cap and S&P 500’s 52-week coefficient of correlation. Source: Tradingview
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An ongoing positive touch increases the odds of a crypto market decline if US stocks continue to fall, especially as the trade war is still dragging.
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Bond entrepreneurs do not require a cutting rate before June, including CME data Showing 95% and 52.5% odds of a pause on the Fed march and possible meetings, respectively.
Probabilities at the target rate for the March Fed meeting. Source: CME
Bad defi loan adds ether sell-off pressure
A $ 74 million defi loan In the Sky Protocol, the collateralized with $ 130 million in ETH, almost -liquidate after the Ether price fell under the extermination level just above $ 1,900.
As happened:
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The borrower Added $ 34 million to ETH as collateral to prevent extermination.
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Returned $ 1.6 million in USDT from Binance, replaced it for Dai, and deposited in maker.
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Debt reduced to $ 73.1 million as ETH prices continue to decline.
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The extermination level remained at $ 1,836 per ETH, closer to the current ETH price of over $ 1,900.
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Almost $ 353 million in debt is tied to such loansRisk of extermination if the price of ETH drops 20% from it.
Ethereum destruction levels in Defi. Source: Defillma
Long Liquidations Speed the Eth Dowstrend
Ether’s collapse over the past 24 hours in conjunction with a wave of long avoiding entrepreneurs to exit their leveraged positions.
Key Takeaways:
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More than $ 240 million worth of ETH positions have been eliminated in the last 24 hours, with a long avoiding $ 196.27 million, or 82% of the total.
Eth Total chart of liquidation. Source: Coinglass
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The sharp price collapse triggers a cascade of forced sellers while entrepreneurs who bet Ethereum’s price increase are liquid.
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When long positions fail to maintain margin requirements, the exchanges of their holdings will automatically sell to cover the losses.
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Such fluids will accelerate price decline, aggravating the collapse.
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The wider crypto market also experienced a sharp deleveraging eventwith total fluids reaching $ 897.26 million throughout the owners.
Liquid crypto markets (24 hours). Source: Tradingview
Ether’s eyes further decline towards $ 1,700
From a technical point of view, the decline in Ether’s price is now part of the existing opposite-cup-and-handle (IC&H) pattern.
Basic Points:
ETH/USD Daily Price Price. Source: Tradingview
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A temporary integration -with (handle) formed near $ 2,700, indicating a failed breakout attempt.
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ETH broke below the basic levels of support, proving the collapse of the IC&H, leading to more losses.
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The measured target transfer from the pattern suggests a potential decline to $ 1,700, which aligns with the support level with the dot.
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The 50-day EMA ($ 2,600) and 200-day EMA ($ 2,929) remain far above, strengthening the bearish sentiment.
Basic levels to watch:
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The price of ETH has been within a descending channel pattern since late February.
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On March 11, the ETH/USD pair increases after testing the lower channel trend as support.
ETH/USD Four hours price chart. Source: Tradingview
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The said rebound took prices to the upper channel trend in recent history.
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If the fractal repetition, the next upside -up ETH target may be around $ 2,000, which is in line with the 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement Line.
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A reversal from current price levels can have an ETH test the IC & H Downside Target of $ 1,700.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every transfer of investment and trading involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when deciding.